Hong Yu et al.: Path Selection of Agricultural Modernization in Different Regions of China -- Based on the Theory of Technology Induction and the Experience of Developed Countries

Hong Yu, Chen Yangfen, Liu Jian

institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences; Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economy (IAMO), Leibniz, Germany

abstract

agricultural modernization is the key foundation to speed up the construction of agricultural power and realize the comprehensive revitalization of rural areas. Based on the theory of technology induction, this study systematically explains the theoretical logic of agricultural modernization path selection, analyzes the empirical path of agricultural modernization in developed countries, and uses the panel data of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and cities) (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) in China from 2000 to 2021 and the translog production function model to empirically analyze the change characteristics of factor output elasticity in different regions of China, and puts forward the appropriate path of regional agricultural modernization. The results show that the technological innovation path based on factor endowment determines the mode direction of agricultural modernization. The path of agricultural modernization in typical developed countries such as the United States, Japan, Germany and Israel follows the theoretical logic of technology induction. Since 2000, the elasticity of labor factor output in China has been negative, showing a trend of "decreasing first and then increasing. The output elasticity of fertilizer elements is gradually decreasing and only the eastern region is still positive, the output elasticity of mechanical elements and land elements is increasing, and the regions with the most obvious advantages are the northeast and central respectively, which basically follow the internal logic of technology induction. Thus, at the regional level, eastern, central, western and northeastern China are respectively suitable for Japan's intensive cultivation path, Germany's production intensive and mechanical technology complex path, Israel's environmental priority and scientific and technological innovation combined with precision path and the United States scale management agricultural modernization path.

Source: Research on Agricultural Modernization, Vol. 45, No. 3, 2024, pp. 355-365.