Zhao Minjuan et al.: China's agricultural carbon neutral target analysis and implementation path.

Analysis and Realization Path of Agricultural Carbon Neutrality Target in China

zhao Minjuan Shi Rui Yao Liuyang

the realization of agricultural carbon neutrality is not only the proper meaning of mitigating global warming, but also the inherent requirement of the transition to modern agriculture. This paper puts forward three goals and connotations of low carbon, zero carbon and negative carbon in agricultural carbon neutrality, and constructs a path map for China to achieve agricultural carbon neutrality in 2060. The forecast results show that China's agricultural carbon emissions will increase by 64.91 per cent under the baseline scenario in 2060 compared to 2018, and emission reduction measures will have the potential to reduce carbon emissions by 74.18 per cent of the baseline scenario, combined with carbon offset measures will be able to achieve the zero-carbon target in agriculture. At the same time, China's agricultural carbon emissions have reached a peak in 2016. In the future, it will be able to achieve agricultural carbon neutrality through the stage of building emission reduction capacity, rapid emission reduction and consolidation and improvement. On this basis, this paper puts forward the safeguard measures to realize China's agricultural carbon neutrality, and looks forward to the development prospect of China's agricultural carbon neutrality.