Research
Society research, members' papers, annual reports, and proceedings
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Wang Yahua: Promoting Rural Revitalization and Building an Agricultural PowerPromoting Rural Revitalization and Building an Agricultural Power yahua Wang the report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China proposed to comprehensively promote rural revitalization and accelerate the construction of an agricultural power, which provided a program of action for the "three rural" work in the new era and new journey of our country. The proposal of agricultural power has important theoretical significance and policy guidance. The construction of a powerful agricultural country needs to be implemented through solid promotion of rural revitalization, and the inherent requirements for the "five major revitalization" are put forward. To speed up the construction of a powerful agricultural country and promote the "five major revitalization", we should base on the national conditions and agricultural conditions, improve the interactive system and mechanism of urban and rural population, promote the process of urbanization, strengthen the ability of agricultural science and technology and strengthen the support of modern science and technology, build a modern agricultural system and promote the high-quality development of agriculture, develop and strengthen the new rural collective economy, and enhance China's global agricultural competitiveness and influence.PDF
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Zhao Minjuan et al.: China's agricultural carbon neutral target analysis and implementation path.Analysis and Realization Path of Agricultural Carbon Neutrality Target in China zhao Minjuan Shi Rui Yao Liuyang the realization of agricultural carbon neutrality is not only the proper meaning of mitigating global warming, but also the inherent requirement of the transition to modern agriculture. This paper puts forward three goals and connotations of low carbon, zero carbon and negative carbon in agricultural carbon neutrality, and constructs a path map for China to achieve agricultural carbon neutrality in 2060. The forecast results show that China's agricultural carbon emissions will increase by 64.91 per cent under the baseline scenario in 2060 compared to 2018, and emission reduction measures will have the potential to reduce carbon emissions by 74.18 per cent of the baseline scenario, combined with carbon offset measures will be able to achieve the zero-carbon target in agriculture. At the same time, China's agricultural carbon emissions have reached a peak in 2016. In the future, it will be able to achieve agricultural carbon neutrality through the stage of building emission reduction capacity, rapid emission reduction and consolidation and improvement. On this basis, this paper puts forward the safeguard measures to realize China's agricultural carbon neutrality, and looks forward to the development prospect of China's agricultural carbon neutrality.PDF
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Zhu Jing et al.: Global Agricultural Trade Governance and China's Food SecurityGlobal Agricultural Trade Governance and China's Food Security zhu Jing, Zhang Ruihua, Xie Chaoping food security is the "big country". In the face of the rigid growth of grain consumption demand, the constraints of resource and environmental carrying capacity and the rising production cost, the domestic grain import demand is expanding, and the stability of international grain market supply and circulation has become an important factor affecting China's food security. However, the current economic globalization is encountering a countercurrent, and the problems of inappropriate rules, mechanism failures and negotiation failures under the current multilateral trade governance framework are constantly being magnified, overlaid with the continuous fermentation of extreme events represented by meteorological disasters, the new crown epidemic and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the credibility and effectiveness of the global agricultural trade governance system are experiencing unprecedented challenges. In the face of the increasingly complex external market environment and the lagging reform of the trade governance system, China should strive to improve the level of institutional openness on the basis of adhering to the principle of extensive consultation, joint contribution and sharing, actively maintain the normal operation of multilateral mechanisms, vigorously promote the reform of agricultural trade rules, strengthen regional agricultural economic and trade cooperation, improve the international food risk prevention and control mechanism, and work with other countries to build a more complete and effective global agricultural trade governance system, consolidate the foundation of international grain trade and effectively ensure China's food security.PDF
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Hu Glacier: Fundamental Challenges Facing the Global Agricultural Products Market and CountermeasuresHu Glacier: Fundamental Challenges Facing the Global Agricultural Products Market and Countermeasures affected by the new coronavirus infection epidemic, the global agricultural market volatility, deepening the human community's concerns about the food crisis, but also intensified the global agricultural market financial speculation and international political game. From the macro perspective of global agricultural production, the per capita food share is sufficient to achieve the goal of "zero hunger", but under the current conditions, the number of hungry people has continued to increase, which has triggered extensive discussion. In fact, the issue of food security is deeply embedded in historical development. On the one hand, the level of agricultural productivity has not completely crossed the threshold of demand, and on the other hand, the food distribution mechanism is still flawed. In order to explain the contradiction between the existing agricultural market and food security more reasonably, this study introduces the concept of "hunger market" by comparing the past history, and puts forward China's countermeasures to face the challenge of food security based on the interpretation framework of the underlying behavior logic.PDF
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Bai Sketch Yuan Peng: Restricting Factors and Promoting Path of Chinese Farmers' All-round Development in the Process of ModernizationRestricting Factors and Promoting Path of Farmers' Comprehensive Development in China in the Process of Modernization bai Xiu Yuan Peng abstract: In 2035, China will basically realize modernization, and the main body of modernization is people. It is the proper meaning of socialist modernization to integrate farmers who account for more than 1/3 of China's population into the modernization process in order to achieve all-round development. Logically speaking, the comprehensive development of farmers should have the characteristics of full and balanced development in the dimensions of economy, society, politics, environment, quality and lifestyle. At this stage, the culture, health and information literacy of Chinese farmers have been improved to varying degrees, the modernization of economic dimensions has made obvious progress, political participation tends to improve, social participation presents individual differences, the living environment has improved significantly, and the awareness of modern lifestyle has been continuously improved. In the process of modernization, the promotion of the all-round development of farmers in our country is hindered not only by institutional mechanisms, but also by rural construction and farmers themselves. It is suggested that we should focus on breaking the dual structure system of urban and rural areas, take the equalization of urban and rural infrastructure and public services as the starting point, and focus on breaking the bottleneck of system and mechanism, promoting village construction and strengthening farmers' subjective consciousness to promote the all-round development of farmers in China.PDF
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Tan Xuewen Tan Qingxiang: A Study on China's Anti-Poverty Strategy for 2035Research on China's Anti-poverty Strategy for 2035 tan Xuewen Tan Qingxiang abstract: In the new development pattern, alleviating relative poverty is an inevitable requirement to promote common prosperity. Facing the goal of achieving more obvious and substantial progress in the common prosperity of all people in 2035, China needs to implement anti-poverty strategies and policy transformations. Relative poverty has the absolute core of the lack of development capacity and opportunities, and there is an obvious relative deprivation of the level of development relative to the general social group. Based on this, this paper puts forward a multiple relative poverty standard system composed of four types of standards, as well as the corresponding three objectives of alleviating relative poverty. China should implement the "three pillars" strategy, conventional strategy, differentiation strategy and phased strategy to alleviate relative poverty. Under the new national governance strategy, relative poverty governance should be regularized, and relative poverty alleviation strategies can be embedded in rural revitalization strategies and shared prosperity development strategies.PDF
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Wang Yahua Chen Xiangning: China's experience in coordinating epidemic prevention and control and the problem of resuming work and production under the new national systemChina's experience in coordinating epidemic prevention and control and the problem of resuming work and production under the new national system. Wang Yahua Chen Xiangning abstract: Under the impact of the new coronary pneumonia epidemic, coordinating the prevention and control of the epidemic and resuming work and production has become a worldwide problem. China has solved this dilemma well, not only controlling the epidemic in a timely and effective manner, but also rapidly promoting the resumption of work and production, and has achieved world-renowned results. Analyzing the national governance logic behind this phenomenon, the "new national system" under the leadership of the Communist Party of China is the key to solve this problem. Based on the panel data of 59 cities from February 1 to March 17, 2020, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the constituent elements of the "new national system", and uses the fixed effect model to test the influence mechanism of political and policy factors, social mobilization factors, modern science and technology factors, epidemic situation factors and urban attribute factors on urban resumption of work and production. The study found that the operating mechanism of the new national system is to adhere to the centralized and unified leadership of the party, and to transform the institutional advantages of socialism with Chinese characteristics to concentrate on major events into governance efficiency by improving the governance system, perfecting the social mobilization mechanism, and implementing digital governance. Examining the operating logic of China's national governance system through the practice of epidemic response, it is demonstrated that the new national system under the leadership of the Party is the key to understanding the efficient governance of contemporary China, and provides new insights into the study of the modernization of China's national governance.PDF
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Xu Liang Zhu Jing Wang Xuejun: China's staple grain policy agricultural insurance: rule constraints and policy optimization.Policy-based Agricultural Insurance for China's Main Grain: Rule Constraints and Policy Optimization xu Liang Zhu Jing Wang Xuejun policy-based agricultural insurance is one of the most commonly used domestic support policy tools for "benchmarking" WTO-related rules and constraints. China is also actively promoting the transformation and upgrading of domestic agricultural policy formulation with it as an important "starting point". On the basis of the pilot projects of complete cost insurance and income insurance for three major grain crops launched by 24 major grain-producing counties in 6 provinces in 2018, the executive meeting of the State Council in June 2021 decided to expand the scope of full cost insurance and planting income insurance for food crops. This paper analyzes the system design space of China's staple grain policy agricultural insurance from the perspective of WTO domestic support rules, studies and judges the possible challenges in adapting to WTO rules when the insurance pilot scheme explored by China in 2018 is used in this large-scale practice, and puts forward targeted optimization suggestions for the subsequent expansion of the scope of agricultural insurance implementation. The study found that the existing domestic support policies for staple grains are in different stages of promotion, and there are differences in the operability of the two types of insurance subsidies classified as "green boxes", and the implementation of full cost insurance for rice and wheat and corn income insurance is more desirable at this stage; according to the previous exploration programs in various parts of China, the two types of insurance subsidies are actually more likely to be classified as "yellow boxes" measures; while implementing the main grain policy agricultural insurance "sub-variety policy" promotion mode, the full cost insurance subsidy needs to be optimized for the "green box" measures, focus on exploring the "full coverage, non-specific" staple grain income insurance, and strengthen the central government's specific guidance on local full cost insurance and income insurance work.PDF
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Wang Xingang Siwei: Has the Reform of Soybean Subsidy Policy Achieve Soybean Expansion? -- Based on the Empirical Study of 124 Prefecture-level Cities in Main Soybean Producing AreasHas the Reform of Soybean Subsidy Policy Achieve Soybean Expansion? -- An Empirical Study of 124 Prefecture-level Cities in Major Soybean Producing Areas wang Xingang Si Wei abstract: The experience and effect of soybean subsidy policy reform have important reference value for exploring the direction of subsidy policy reform for rice, wheat and other crops. To this end, based on the panel data at the level of the main soybean production area in China, this paper uses the double differential model to examine in detail the impact of the soybean producer subsidy policy introduced in 2017 on soybean production. The results show that the implementation of the producer subsidy policy has achieved the policy goal of expanding the sown area of soybean, but it also caused the decline of production factor input. From the perspective of the time process of the reform, in the first year of the reform, the changes in soybean production more reflected the impact of the cancellation of soybean target price subsidies rather than the actual effect of soybean producer subsidies, so there was a decrease in soybean sown area, area share and unit area input; however, the expansion effect of producer subsidies in the second and third years was gradually highlighted, and the soybean sown area was increasing year by year. Regional heterogeneity analysis shows that producer subsidies have different effects on soybean production in different provinces and accumulated temperate zones. Heilongjiang Province and the eastern four league cities of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region are more sensitive to producer subsidies, and subsidies have the most significant incentive effect on soybean cultivation in the second, third and fifth accumulated temperate zones of these two provinces.PDF
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Wang Jun, Li Lin, Yuan Peng: Centennial Evolution and Basic Experience of Supply and Marketing Cooperatives under the Leadership of the Communist Party of ChinaThe Centennial Evolution and Basic Experience of Supply and Marketing Cooperatives under the Leadership of the Communist Party of China wang Jun, Li Lin, Yuan Peng the supply and marketing cooperative is a comprehensive cooperative economic organization serving agriculture under the leadership of the Communist Party of China. With the development of the Communist Party of China for a hundred years, it has grown from scratch, from small to large. In the course of a hundred years of development, the Communist Party of China has taken targeted measures based on the changes in the central tasks and objective situations of the party and the country in different historical periods to give full play to the role of supply and marketing cooperatives in national economic construction, urban and rural trade circulation, agricultural production, and consolidating the party's The important role of rural governance. Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the Party Central Committee has attached great importance to the work of supply and marketing cooperatives, placed it in an important position in the work of "agriculture, rural areas and farmers", adhered to the direction of socialist market economy reform, comprehensively promoted comprehensive reforms, and continuously enhanced its economic strength and ability to serve agriculture., Endogenous development momentum. From the century-old evolution of supply and marketing cooperatives under the leadership of the Communist Party of China, it can be seen that the reform and development of supply and marketing cooperatives has always adhered to the leadership of the Communist Party of China, always closely followed the development goals of the party and the country, always adhered to the fundamental purpose of serving agriculture, and always adhered to the basic attributes of cooperative economy.PDF
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Du Zhixiong: Agricultural and Rural Modernization: Connotation Analysis, Problem Challenge and Realization PathAgricultural and Rural Modernization: Connotation Analysis, Problem Challenge and Realization Path du Zhixiong speeding up the modernization of agriculture and rural areas is not only the overall promotion of China's "three rural" work, but also the key and guarantee to ensure the comprehensive revitalization of rural areas. For the understanding of agricultural and rural modernization, there are obvious evolution characteristics in different stages. Agricultural and rural modernization is the organic coupling of agricultural modernization and rural modernization, agricultural modernization is the basis of rural modernization, and rural modernization is the basis of agricultural modernization. At present, there are still many problems and challenges in promoting the development of agricultural and rural modernization, such as the relative lag of agricultural and rural infrastructure construction, the double pressure of ecology and resources and environment, the coexistence of rising production costs and the imbalance of supply and demand structure, the urgent need to enhance the deep integration of rural industries, the large gap in the income of urban and rural residents, and the development quality of new agricultural operators needs to be improved. In order to solve the above practical constraints, further promote the development of agricultural and rural modernization, and achieve the development goals of strong agriculture, beautiful rural areas, and rich farmers, we should give priority to supporting agriculture and improving infrastructure construction; based on county carriers, promote deep industrial integration; Ensure food security, promote agricultural quality and efficiency; pay attention to ecological protection, strengthen the construction of rural civilization; strengthen talent support, and promote the high-quality development of new agricultural business entities.PDF
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Zhang Li and Wang Yahua: How the Collective Economy Affects Village Collective ActionHow Collective Economy Affects Village Collective Action -- A Case Study of Farmers' Participation in Irrigation Facilities Supply zhang Li, Wang Yahua developing and strengthening the collective economy is an important measure to break through the dilemma of rural collective action and improve the ability of rural governance. Using the 2017 summer survey data of the China Rural Research Institute of Tsinghua University, this paper takes farmers' participation in the supply of irrigation facilities as an example, and makes an empirical analysis of how the collective economy affects the collective action of villages. The study found that the collective economy has a significant positive impact on the village collective action, the collective economy can not only influence the village collective action through the leadership of the village cadres, but also influence the village collective action through the villagers' sense of belonging, and then influence the village collective action through the leadership of the village cadres. Among them, the leadership of village cadres is the most important path. Further discussion shows that there are significant village differences in the influence path of collective economy on village collective action. The failure of village governance will weaken the influence of collective economy on the leadership of village cadres and village collective action, and will also restrict the leadership of village cadres. Only in the effective governance of the village, the collective economy will promote village collective action. This paper deepens the understanding of the mechanism of collective economic influence on village collective action, and provides theoretical basis and empirical support for the development and expansion of collective economy and the realization of effective rural governance.PDF
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Lu Qian Wen Yuan Peng: Research on the Development Dynamics and Cohesive Mechanism of Small Farmers in Agricultural and Rural ModernizationResearch on the Development Dynamics and Connection Mechanism of Small Farmers in Agricultural and Rural Modernization lu Qian Wen Yuan Peng to speed up the modernization of agriculture and rural areas in the new era, we must give priority to solving the problem of small farmers' development. Based on the actual evolution process of small farmers since the rural reform, this paper defines and puts forward the identification criteria of small farmers, and makes a comparative analysis and prospect judgment on the dynamic characteristics of their differentiation and the situational choice of development. First, under the trend of decreasing total amount, small farmers will evolve in the direction of sideline agriculture at the family level, specialization at the labor level, and intergenerational division of labor to intergenerational transmission. Some small farmers will gradually withdraw from agriculture. Some small farmers have developed into an important source of new agricultural business entities and service entities; second, in the process of rural market reform, small farmers have formed the situational choice of specialization, organization, service and industrialization, which provides multiple paths for small farmers with different differentiation characteristics to connect modern agriculture; third, the policy promotes the organic connection between small farmers and modern agricultural development, and gives priority to supporting small farmers to develop and grow in the direction of scale, specialization and service, Provide institutional support and service support for small farmers to choose different development situations, help small farmers to participate in the modern agricultural industry chain, supply chain and value chain. To promote the organic connection between small farmers and modern agricultural development, we must pay attention to the matching of dynamic characteristics and situational choices, and formulate a strategic, systematic, collaborative and holistic combination of convergence paths.PDF
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Tan Xuewen: Consolidating and Expanding the Tasks of Poverty Alleviation and Transitional ArrangementsTasks and Transitional Arrangements for Consolidating and Expanding the Achievements of Poverty Alleviation tan Xuewen this paper mainly understands the goal and task of consolidating and expanding the achievements of poverty alleviation from the perspective of stable poverty alleviation of the poverty-stricken population, rapid income increase of the long-term low-income population and shared prosperity and development. Consolidating the results of poverty alleviation is its basic task, and preventing the return to poverty and new poverty is its bottom line task, it is necessary to establish a precise poverty alleviation policy exit transformation mechanism, and establish a long-term relief mechanism from poverty. Expanding the results of poverty alleviation is its subjective task, including not only expanding existing poverty alleviation measures and carrying out assistance to the critical poor, but more importantly, exploring the transformation of anti-poverty strategy. This paper points out that the goal of transformation is to establish a long-term low-income population sharing prosperity development strategy. Based on this, this paper puts forward the two-stage arrangement and the basic idea of convergence in the transition period of consolidating and expanding the achievements of poverty alleviation.PDF
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Zhu Jing et al.: The impact of import restrictions on agricultural trade under the new coronary pneumonia epidemic and reflections.The impact of import restrictions on agricultural trade under the outbreak of new crown pneumonia. Zhu Jing, Zhang Rui, Zhang Ruihua, Xie Chaoping, Yang Jing the global pandemic of the new coronary pneumonia epidemic has had a strong impact on the development of the world economy and trade. However, in the name of the epidemic, some countries have implemented protectionism, hindering the normal flow of agricultural products around the world. By comprehensively combing and analyzing the import restriction measures of global agricultural products during the epidemic period, this paper finds that some import restriction measures adopted by some countries to deal with the impact of the epidemic and protect their agricultural production do not conform to the relevant regulations in the International Classification of Non-Tariff Measures, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the Agreement on the Implementation of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures (SPS Agreement), and have strong trade protectionism color, its rationality needs to be further discussed. Based on past experience, trade protectionism cannot fundamentally solve the global crisis caused by the epidemic, but will exacerbate the contraction of the global agricultural economy and trade. Affected by import restrictions, China's agricultural trade has also shown a sharp decline. In view of the normalization of the neo-coronary pneumonia epidemic and the rising tide of anti-globalization, countries should strengthen cooperation and, while meeting reasonable demands, take the least restrictive measures to ensure the smooth flow of global agricultural trade.PDF
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Lu Qianwen, Yuan Peng: Agricultural Production Trusteeship and Stabilizing the Strategic Foundation of China's Food SecurityAgricultural Production Trusteeship and Stabilizing the Strategic Foundation of China's Food Security lu Qianwen, Yuan Peng increasing domestic grain production and improving quality is the foundation for ensuring national food security in the new stage. The dynamic evolution of small farmers will not be conducive to increasing grain production and improving quality, while agricultural production trusteeship can overcome the bottleneck of small farmers' grain production. Agricultural production trusteeship has constructed a "rest assured" mechanism for the supply of the service market, which is a typical form of high-quality development of agricultural productive services. The internal logic of promoting grain production and quality improvement lies in the incentive compatibility mechanism contained in the "rest assured" mechanism, which uses the agglomeration and sharing of agricultural management to make up for the input gap of non-material factors, stabilize grain production, maintain the willingness of small farmers to grow grain, generate intensive and efficient green production methods, prevent the degradation and fault of grain production capacity, promote farmland renovation, reduce abandonment, and increase the benefits of moderate scale operation and factor input, achieve the organic unity of "storing grain in the ground" and "storing grain in technology. Agricultural production trusteeship has become the key to a solid foundation of food security, but its popularization faces multiple difficulties, and it needs to be clearly listed as the priority support object of food security policy. to cultivate service subjects, improve the organizational system, improve the level of business, strengthen mechanism design, innovative support methods and other means to promote accelerated development.PDF
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Yuan Peng: Promoting the Organic Connection between Small Farmers and Modern AgricultureThe Central Rural Work Conference held at the end of 2020 will focus on the new development stage, implement the new development concept, build a new development pattern, and make further comprehensive strategic arrangements for comprehensively promoting rural revitalization and accelerating agricultural and rural modernization in 2021. General Secretary Xi Jinping attended the meeting and delivered an important speech. Starting from the overall situation of building a modern socialist country in an all-round way, in order to realize the great historical concept of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, he emphasized that the solution of the "three rural" issues should be the top priority of the party's work. Use the power of the whole party and the whole society to promote rural revitalization, promote high-quality and high-efficiency agriculture, livable and suitable for rural areas, and prosperous farmers. It is the key to achieve this goal and task to do a good job in promoting the organic connection between small farmers and modern agriculture.PDF
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Wang Yahua Shu Quanfeng: Spillover Effects of China's Precision Poverty Alleviation PracticeThe achievements of China's precision poverty alleviation practice have attracted the attention of the world, and the magnificent fight against poverty has produced extensive spillover effects on my country's economic and social development. Based on the analysis of the effectiveness of China's precision poverty alleviation and combing the relevant literature, this paper puts forward the concept definition and analysis framework of the spillover effect of precision poverty alleviation, and summarizes the political spillover effect, organizational spillover effect, economic spillover effect, social spillover effect and cultural spillover effect of China's precision poverty alleviation. After the completion of the goal and task of poverty alleviation, China needs to continue to make good use of the spillover effect of accurate poverty alleviation during the 14th five-year Plan period, solidly consolidate and expand the achievements of poverty alleviation, speed up the improvement of the design of the rural revitalization system, and further promote the reform of the rural governance system. we will promote rural revitalization in an all-round way and speed up the modernization of agriculture and rural areas.PDF
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Zhang Zongyi: "During the 14th Five-Year Plan" period, a number of major issues and initiatives for the transformation of hilly and mountainous farmland should be mechanized.Hilly and mountainous areas are important production bases of fruit, vegetable, tea and characteristic grain and oil in China, and an important area for rural revitalization in China. However, due to the limitation of terrain conditions, the level of agricultural mechanization in China's hilly and mountainous areas is far lower than that in plain areas, and the process of agricultural and rural modernization is seriously lagging behind. It is the key measure to solve the problem of agricultural mechanization lag in hilly and mountainous areas to carry out small and large, short and long, slope reform and other suitable mechanized operations. This paper first expounds the internal logic of farmland mechanization transformation in hilly and mountainous areas from three dimensions: the importance of hilly and mountainous areas in the national agricultural and rural areas, the problems caused by the lagging development of agricultural mechanization and the solutions for the development of agricultural mechanization, and then empirically analyzes the practical cases at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the relationship between the construction of high-standard farmland and the appropriate mechanization, how to determine the scope of the transformation object, how to measure the transformation funds and subsidy funds, how to choose the specific transformation mechanism, how to optimize the technical standards of transformation and other problems faced in the practice of farmland suitable mechanization transformation. The results show that: according to the current transformation cost of 15000~60000 yuan per hectare, only 412.5~1650 yuan per hectare per year is needed to bring an additional benefit of break-even, while the current practice is suitable for mechanized transformation of arable land can generate at least 4500 yuan per hectare per year; in addition, the working mechanism of farmers' participation, construction first and then compensation, quota subsidy and self-financing of the difference is better than the working mechanism of high-standard farmland construction, which is all arranged by the government. Finally, this paper puts forward the corresponding specific policy recommendations.PDF